The Premier League remains suspended, but the Opta Predictor has crunched the numbers for the games originally scheduled for March 20-22.
As the world continues to battle against the coronavirus pandemic, football fans across the globe face another weekend scratching around for something to fill the void.
The domestic calendar in England was halted last week in a bid to reduce social gatherings and the Football Association confirmed its leagues would not return until at least the end of April.
While we cannot say for sure how this weekend’s Premier League fixtures would have gone, our friends at Opta have come up with a system to predict the outcomes.
What chance would your team have had? Take a look below.
The Opta Predictor estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) given each team’s attacking and defensive quality. The team’s attacking and defensive qualities are based on four years of historic results, with more weighting given to their most recent results. The model will take into account the quality of the opposition that a team scores or concedes against and reward them accordingly.
10 – The Opta Predictor has predicted what would’ve been the likely outcome of the 10 Premier League matches that were postponed between March 20-22. Explainer. pic.twitter.com/Cx3i2qeMaA
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) March 20, 2020
BURNLEY v WATFORD
Home win: 49 per cent
Draw: 26 per cent
Away win: 25 per cent
Watford may have handed Liverpool their first defeat of the Premier League season, but with just one victory in their past three visits to Turf Moor it is Burnley who are expected to win by the predictor. Sean Dyche’s side have gone unbeaten in seven top-flight matches to move into a more comfortable position in the middle of the table.
CHELSEA v MANCHESTER CITY
Home win: 30 per cent
Draw: 24 per cent
Away win: 46 per cent
Manchester City are the pick to prevail at Stamford Bridge, a ground where Pep Guardiola has lost on two of his three Premier League visits. Kevin De Bruyne’s winner in September 2017 fired City’s charge to a 100-point title romp but goals from N’Golo Kante and David Luiz saw the Blues hand Guardiola’s men the first league defeat of their triumphant 2018-19 campaign. Kante and De Bruyne were both on target when the sides met at the Etihad Stadium back in November, before Riyad Mahrez sealed a 2-1 comeback win for the hosts.
LEICESTER CITY v BRIGHTON
Home win: 62 per cent
Draw: 22 per cent
Away win: 16 per cent
Brighton won at Arsenal back in December, but that was just one of two away victories for the Seagulls so far in the Premier League this season, so their prospects at Leicester were inevitably looking bleak. After a worrying slump, Leicester looked to have rediscovered their mojo by the time the league ground to a halt, with Jamie Vardy back on the goal trail following a drought. Leicester’s nine wins at the King Power Stadium this term looked highly likely to become 10.
LIVERPOOL v CRYSTAL PALACE
Home win: 76 per cent win
Draw: 16 per cent
Away win: 8 per cent
A predicted triumph for Liverpool at Anfield is by no means a surprise given they are on a top-flight record of 22 straight home wins. With just an eight per cent chance of winning, Palace had the lowest chance of victory in this round of fixtures. However, with City predicted to come out on top against Chelsea, the Reds’ wait to clinch the Premier League title would have continued.
MANCHESTER UNITED v SHEFFIELD UNITED
Home win: 48 per cent
Draw: 30 per cent
Away win: 22 per cent
The halt in football action came at a bad time for Manchester United, who were on a magnificent roll – 11 matches unbeaten with eight victories. The Opta predictor backed the hosts to continue that run, but at 48 per cent, a home win was seen as far from a certainty. Amid an amazing season, Sheffield United are just two points behind Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men and at 30 per cent, it is the most likely contest on the matchday to end in a draw. That was also the outcome in a thrilling 3-3 draw at Bramall Lane in November.
30% – The game this weekend with the highest probability of a draw was Manchester United vs Sheffield United, a 30% likelihood. Stalemate. pic.twitter.com/Wr7RjtCZq2
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) March 20, 2020
Home win: 54 per cent
Draw: 24 per cent
Away win: 22 per cent
The predicted win for Newcastle is something Aston Villa – second from bottom and 10 points shy of Steve Bruce’s men – could ill afford in reality. Newcastle are unbeaten in five matches at St James’ Park, although that run includes three consecutive 0-0 draws. Villa have lost four in succession in the Premier League and only won three times in the top flight since beating the Magpies 2-0 in the corresponding fixture on November 25.
NORWICH CITY v EVERTON
Home win: 28 per cent
Draw: 26 per cent
Away win: 46 per cent
Norwich prop up the Premier League table and the predictor reflects as such, with Everton having a greater chance of victory on the road. The Toffees’ last win at Carrow Road came in 2004, though, and Everton were beaten 2-0 at home by Daniel Farke’s side back in November, Todd Cantwell and Dennis Srbeny with the goals at Goodison Park.
SOUTHAMPTON v ARSENAL
Home win: 28 per cent
Draw: 24 per cent
Away win: 48 per cent
Southampton’s resurgence during December and January had given way to a worrying patch of form over February and early March. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men did beat Aston Villa at home, but this Arsenal side under Mikel Arteta’s leadership are a different prospect to the team Saints held 2-2 in north London back in November. The Gunners are unbeaten in the Premier League in 2020, and they would have fancied claiming all three points on offer at St Mary’s.
TOTTENHAM v WEST HAM
Home win: 70 per cent
Draw: 17 per cent
Away win: 13 per cent
The Hammers were not predicted to fare particularly well at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, but they did defy the odds with a 1-0 win at the same venue in April 2019, Michail Antonio scoring the winner. Tottenham were the victors in the reverse fixture this season, a 3-2 triumph in Jose Mourinho’s first match in charge.
WOLVES V BOURNEMOUTH
Home win: 58 per cent
Draw: 23 per cent
Away win: 19 per cent
Wolves are unbeaten in all three of their Premier League matches against Bournemouth, including a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture, and the predictor has them as the more likely winners on this matchday. That would come as a welcome relief to Wolves, who have won just one of their last five home top-flight matches, while Eddie Howe’s men would be primed for a seventh consecutive away loss.
Premier League: Manchester City Gives Liverpool its 19th Premier League Title, Ends 30 Years Title Drought
Liverpool was crowned Premier League champions after Manchester City lost their match against Chelsea. After Chelsea’s 2-1 win over Manchester City on Wednesday night, Liverpool’s massive lead at the top became mathematically unassailable and the historic moment was all theirs.
Liverpool has been crowned Premier League champions without kicking a ball on Thursday as Manchester City ended the Reds’ 30-year wait to win the English title. Jurgen Klopp’s men sealed a 19th league title for the club with a record seven games left to play after second-placed City’s defeat left them 23 points adrift. Liverpool had moved within two points of the title with a 4-0 demolition of Crystal Palace at Anfield on Wednesday.
The Reds placed both hands on the trophy with an impeccable record of 28 victories, two draws, and just a single defeat, ending their 30-year wait for a league title.
Liverpool has become the butt of so many jokes over the years with Manchester United accelerating past them to 20 league titles with 13 plaques coming in the Premier League era.
Liverpool got the favor they wanted from Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
Willian’s 78th-minute penalty, awarded for a handball by Fernandinho, ended City’s two-year reign as champions after Kevin De Bruyne had canceled out Christian Pulisic’s opener.
Liverpool has clinched the title earlier than any other Premier League champions, breaking the previous record of five games left shared by City and Manchester United.
It has been an agonizing wait for Liverpool fans across the world, with the coronavirus hiatus forcing them to put the champagne on ice after the Premier League has suspended in March with Klopp’s team two wins from the title.
The three-month delay was a final obstacle on Liverpool’s long road back to the pinnacle of English football.
Before next season becomes a topic of conversation, though, there are still so many records Liverpool can break and their immaculate win rate suggests it could be a formality.
The Merseyside club is on course to accumulate the most home and away wins as well as the largest margin of victory to go with their record of the earliest ever title win.
And their current total of 86 points tees them up nicely to break Manchester City’s record of 100 during the 2017/18 season with room to spare.
Manchester City had won the last two Premier League titles, but their campaign for a ‘three-peat’ never really gathered momentum and their next game, well, comes against Liverpool themselves.
It will be a painful moment for Pep Guardiola and co if they follow what has become a Premier League tradition of staging a guard of honor for the newly-crowned champions.
Klopp has become the first German manager to win the Premier League, has been the architect of Liverpool’s renaissance since the former Borussia Dortmund boss arrived at Anfield in 2015.
Infusing his players with a belief in his “heavy metal” football and high-tempo “Gegen-pressing” game-plan, the charismatic Klopp has earned his place alongside Liverpool’s iconic former managers Bill Shankly, Bob Paisley, and Kenny Dalglish.
Following years of underachievement, Klopp has brought his unique style and major trophies back to Liverpool.
It should be noted that they won the Champions League last season when they beat Tottenham in the final, 12 months after losing to Real Madrid at the same stage of the competition.
Liverpool was pipped to the title by Manchester City on the final day of last season, finishing with a record 97 points for top-flight runners-up.
But with Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino forming a formidable front three, Jordan Henderson a tireless presence in midfield and Virgil van Dijk imperious at the back, Liverpool have left City trailing in their wake this season.
Premier League: Tottenham Confirms One Positive Case Of Coronavirus After The Fifth Testing Exercise.
Tottenham have confirmed they have received the only positive test for coronavirus from the fifth round of Premier League testing results.
The fifth batch of tests took place on Monday June 01 and Tuesday June 02 2020.
A statement from Tottenham reads: “We have been informed by the Premier League that we have received one positive test for COVID-19 following the latest round of testing at our Training Centre”.
Due to medical confidentiality, the individual’s name will not be disclosed.
They are currently asymptomatic and will now self-isolate for seven days, in line with Premier League protocol, before undergoing further testing.
We shall continue to strictly adhere to the Premier League’s Return to Training protocol, which ensures our Training Centre remains a safe and virus-free working environment.
Amazon will broadcast its remaining four games for free after Premier League resumption
The American giant, which has part of the rights of the Premier League in Great Britain, announced Wednesday that it will offer in clear its four remaining matches with the resumption of the competition, on June 17.
Good news for British supporters. As the resumption of the interrupted season approaches (June 17), the American giant of online sales Amazon announces that it will air in clear in Great Britain the four Premier League matches out of the 92 remaining to be played this season which it has the rights.
These meetings will be visible through its Prime Video online streaming service, without the need to subscribe to the Prime offer.
Free also on Sky and the BBC
Sky Sports has announced that 25 of its 64 matches will be broadcast unscrambled on its Pick channel, while the BBC obtained the rights to broadcast four matches on terrestrial television (this will be the first time that the “Beeb” will broadcast live meetings of the English elite e since 1988). A total of 33 matches will therefore be in the clear out of the 92 matches that Sky Sports, BT Sport, BBC Sport and Amazon Prime will share.
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